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Fantasy Island

The Return of Normalcy

Read More: Randy Moss,Andre Johnson,Larry Fitzgerald,Matthew Berry,Steve Smith,Fantasy

Packing's done. Nanny's on the job. Life returns to its normal and predictable routine. Fantasy Football? Not so predictable. And that's where the fun begins ...


 

Last week I wrote about things (and players) that suck. Since then my life has calmed down a bit. Boxes are unpacked, my nanny started work (yay!) and I’m back at work (well, we can’t have everything, right?). All in all, things are starting to get back to normal. And, normal is good. It’s predictable and safe.

 

Unfortunately, fantasy football isn’t predictable. If it were, we’d all win. The truth is you don’t know how your players will perform this year. You can’t predict the future. That said there are some players who are more predictable than others. You know, the players that have the right skill set, who are on the right team and have the right schedule. They are few and far between, but they exist. This year, the most predictable and safe guys are the elite wide receivers.

 

Fantasy experts everywhere are recommending that it is important to get an elite wide receiver. In Matthew Berry’s Draft Day Manifesto he implores his readers “to get an elite No. 1 wideout in the first three rounds.” Me? I’ll go one further and say do it in the first two rounds.

 

The following are the top ten receivers according to ESPN, Yahoo and CBS Sportsline. (Note: if you look closely you’ll see that I’m trying to make a point.)  

 

ESPN

Yahoo

CBS Sportsline

1 Larry Fitzgerald, ARI

2 Andre Johnson, HOU

3 Calvin Johnson, DET

4 Randy Moss, NE

5 Steve Smith, CAR

6 Greg Jennings, GB

7 Reggie Wayne, IND

8 Roddy White, ATL

9 Anquan Boldin, ARI

10. Dwayne Bowe, KC

1. Larry Fitzgerald, ARI

2. Andre Johnson, HOU

3. Randy Moss, NE

4. Steve Smith, CAR

5. Calvin Johnson, DET

6. Reggie Wayne, IND

7. Greg Jennings, GB

8. Roddy White, ATL

9. Anquan Boldin, ARI

10. Dwayne Bowe, KC

1. Larry Fitzgerald, ARI

2. Andre Johnson, HOU

3. Randy Moss, NE

4. Calvin Johnson, DET

5. Reggie Wayne, IND

6. Greg Jennings, GB

7. Anquan Boldin, ARI

8. Roddy White, ATL

9. Marcus Colston, NO

10. Steve Smith, CAR

 

There is a consensus that eight guys (nine, if you include Steve Smith) are in a league of their own. I’m going to make sure that I have at least one of these guys on all of my teams. I hope that you do too.

 

My elite wideout rankings

1. Andre Johnson

2. Larry Fitzgerald

3. Randy Moss

4. Reggie Wayne

5. Roddy White

6. Calvin Johnson

7. Anquan Boldin

8. Greg Jennings

 

One more thing. Be sure to check out the new GameOn podcast, launching this week, with a short version — a nice introduction to what we will be bringing you in upcoming episodes. Next week we officially launch with a fantasy football special. Erica and I will be speaking with ESPN Fantasy Analyst Eric Karabell. Jordan Zucker from The Girl’s Guide to Fantasy Football will also stop by. GameOn will be available for download on gogameface.com and iTunes.

 

Send your fantasy football emails to mgreenhawt@gogameface.com. You can also find me on twitter as @melisgreenhawt. 

 

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I agree that you HAVE to target one of these players early. BUT...I've heard the phrase "you need to get an elite wide receiver" about the same number of times I heard "you have to get an elite SS" before the baseball season. It makes me and Jose Reyes a little twitchy. In the draft I've had so far, only Fitz went in the first round. With your rankings, Melis, does that mean you think Andre is worth a 1st round pick as well?

by sarah

[PERMALINK]

08.27.09


It does. I'd take Johnson at the end of round 1. Of my top 8 I don't think it is too early to take any of the top 6 by the end of round 2. Every draft is different and some of these guys may slip to the beginning of round 3, but depending on where you pick its best to make sure you get one of them and to do that you will likely need to do it in round 1 or 2.

by mgreenhawt

[PERMALINK]

08.27.09


I've got my first draft tomorrow night. If I end up with a pick towards the end of the first round I plan on taking a WR with my first 2 picks. If I can get 2 of the top 4 and wind up with Derrick Ward and Kevin Smith types as my top 2 RB's I'll be happy.


Its a tough call whether to go WR, WR. If Johnson and Fitz are there I think its a no brainer (b/c you not at least that you'll be able trade one of them for top RB if necessary). If its a 10 man I think you'll be fine as long as you build a lot of RB depth. A 12 man might be tougher. Smith may not fall and you'd be might be left with Grant, McFadden, Moreno types. Alternatively, if you go RB, WR you will likely be able to get Bowe or Housh as a #2 WR and still keep the security of a top 12 RB as your #1.

by mgreenhawt

[PERMALINK]

08.28.09


It's a 14 team league, that's why I'm thinking that way, but you make good points. I'd pretty much have to draft RB's the next 3 or 4 rounds if I did that and that may be risky.


Not only that. There is no way you'll get 2 of Moss, Fitz and Johnson in a 14 man league (at least if everyone knows what they are doing). And those are the only ones who make it worth passing on a RB to get 2 elite WRs, in my mind. So I'd take the WR 1st (unless a guy like MJD falls) and then grab a top12 RB in round 2. Then look for a WR like Housh in round 3 (plus you never know a guy like Colston may fall there too).

by mgreenhawt

[PERMALINK]

08.28.09


Melissa Greenhawt

Melissa joins us from ESPNradio.com where she was the co-host for the podcast, “Play Ball! with Amanda and Melissa.” When it comes to pro-sports Melissa is an all-New York fan (Yankees, Giants and Rangers). Despite playing basketball in college, however, Melissa isn’t an NBA fan. She prefers college hoops and, as a Connecticut native, thinks it would be treason to root for any school other than UCONN. The UCONN love stops with basketball though — “with college football its all about the Maize and Blue.” As a seasoned fantasy vet, Melissa's love for fantasy sports knows no boundaries. Melissa is a practicing attorney who lives in the metro Detroit area with her husband and their two children.



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